Shop Forum More Submit  Join Login
About Deviant Artist Core Member wlkrMale/Norway Recent Activity
Deviant for 13 Years
2 Month Core Membership
Statistics 190 Deviations 5,139 Comments 216,160 Pageviews

Random Favourites

Christmas in Mali by tiramcsr Christmas in Mali :icontiramcsr:tiramcsr 2 5 Spider-man cover by diablo2003 Spider-man cover :icondiablo2003:diablo2003 9,751 1,108 Maybe Next Time by P0RG Maybe Next Time :iconp0rg:P0RG 15,717 1,057
Literature
Tokyo
Dark, narrow, hallway, light, stop, back up, feel, breath. You’re going to fall and just your luck they forgot to set up the trampoline today. That seems to be a current theme in your life lately, they choose to ignore your need to survive. All you have is yourself. You can’t rely on others, you’ll sit in the corner and no one will even give you a second thought, you’ll blend in with the grimy dirty walls look it matches your dirty nails. Guess you’ll never be clean again. Remember that time in New York on the subway and you missed your stop and ended up in Tokyo? That is the single most interesting thing that will ever happen to you in your life. Face it baby, your boring, your ordinary, your unoriginal, and your stupid. Congrats you have achieved your greatest fear, give yourself a cookie and a pat on the back it’s the only reward you’ll receive because guess what, no one fucking cares! They care about their iphones and what outfit they are going to
:iconlaurenhasboobs:laurenhasboobs
:iconlaurenhasboobs:laurenhasboobs 2 1
attic by Fygomatic
Mature content
attic :iconfygomatic:Fygomatic 1,856 253
Book nosing by Tooshtoosh Book nosing :icontooshtoosh:Tooshtoosh 2,319 293 The Kitten Kiss by leenaraven The Kitten Kiss :iconleenaraven:leenaraven 8,252 1,080 subliminal vision by computerologist subliminal vision :iconcomputerologist:computerologist 265 295 shopping with my girlfriend by DanielaUhlig shopping with my girlfriend :icondanielauhlig:DanielaUhlig 1,577 166 blindmans buff by DanielaUhlig blindmans buff :icondanielauhlig:DanielaUhlig 7,921 600 Eyfi close-up by afke11 Eyfi close-up :iconafke11:afke11 14 8 Sweet Bite by kiyary Sweet Bite :iconkiyary:kiyary 20 5 Teh Blah...I Has It. by swandog Teh Blah...I Has It. :iconswandog:swandog 151 57 MeOw .. by letisto MeOw .. :iconletisto:letisto 64 37 smile for the camera by briannacherrygarcia smile for the camera :iconbriannacherrygarcia:briannacherrygarcia 81,700 14,038 Cupcakes by twilight-tinkerbell Cupcakes :icontwilight-tinkerbell:twilight-tinkerbell 1 3

Groups

Oscar predictions 2019

Journal Entry: Sun Feb 24, 2019, 3:43 AM


It's time again for my Oscar predictions. Note that these are who I think WILL win, not necessarily who I think SHOULD win.

Best picture
Roma

Roma is the film to beat in this category. That said, the fact that it didn't win the PGA (which also uses a preferential ballot), the fact that it would be the first time a non-English spoken film would win, and that Netflix is behind it, makes me very unsure. The precursors have been all over the place, with Green Book taking the PGA, Black Panther getting the SAG and the WGA going for Eight Grade. But going for the favorite rarely disappoints at the Oscar and with a 6/9 streak for the DGA/BAFTA combination history will probably be made.

Best actor
Rami Malek


Haven't seen Bohemian Rhapsody, but I've heard Malek is excellent in it. He's won most of the precursors, and a win seems pretty much guaranteed.

Best actress
Glenn Close

This is the seventh time that Close is nominated, and everything points to that this will be the year she brings home the Oscar. Her only real competition is Olivia Colman (who's really excellent in The Favorite and won the BAFTA), but probably not enough to overcome the combination of beloved actress + it's her time + all the rest of the precursors.

Best supporting actor
Mahershala Ali

Ali has swept all of the precursors and basically only has two things against him. That he won the same category two years ago, and that Richard E. Grant is well-liked actor that has never won anything for his often excellent work. But odds are that Ali takes home his second Oscar.

Best supporting actress
Regina King

This one is tricky. Regina King looked pretty much unbeatable after winning the Golden Globe and Critic's Choice, but then wasn't nominated by SAG and lost to Rachel Weisz at the BAFTAs. But then SAG Award went to non Oscar nominated Emily Blunt, thereby throwing it completely open.

Best director
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

This category has just been totally dominated by Mexicans the last couple of years, with Cuarón, Iñárritu and del Toro taking turns winning it. If there's an upset it will be Spike Lee finally winning an Oscar, but don't count on it.

Original screenplay
The Favorite

This is an interesting category. It's mostly down to either Green Book or The Favorite, and will give a hint on how the evening will turn out. If Green Book wins, it will probably go on to win Best Picture.

Adapted screenplay
BlacKkKlansman

This one is all over the map. BlacKkKlansman won BAFTA, If Beale Street Could Talk won Critic's Choice and then the WGA went to Can You Ever Forgive Me? The Academy has a tendency to award more hipper auteurs here that are a little to daring for the more mayor awards, which is why I think Spike Lee will win.

Best animated feature
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

This one usually goes to either the Pixar or Disney movie, no matter which movie deserves the award the most, and it's hard to argue that the highest grossing animated feature of all time Incredibles 2, from two time Oscar-winner Brad Bird wouldn't normally be the favorite. But against it is that the Academy doesn't like to award sequels (Toy Story 3 is the only sequel to have won), Brad Bird already has two Oscars, and the momentum is firmly on Spider-Verse's side.

Foreign language feature
Roma

This one comes down to how sure the voters are that Roma will win Best Picture. If they're pretty certain, expect Cold War to win, if they're in doubt they'll probably make sure that Roma at least wins this one.

Cinematography
Roma

The duel of the black and white movies. While Łukasz Żal won the ASC for Cold War, it's looking more likely that Alfonso Cuarón will become historic as the first director to win for shooting his own film.

Film editing
Bohemian Rhapsody

This category basically boils down to two choices. The more flashy editing of Vice, with lots of crosscutting, or the narrative that John Ottman saved the movie after Bryan Singer was fired. I'm leaning towards the latter.

Production design
The Favorite

Another hard one. The Academy loves costumed period dramas and the costumes in The Favorite are gorgeous and just exactly the type of movie they love to award. That said, Black Panther makes a non-existing place look like a real place with history. Looking at the precursors doesn't really help, the ADG and CDG chose to award both. Often the same movie wins both production and costume design, but I'm gonna go for a split choice. Either way I'll at least get one of them right.

Costume design
Black Panther

Makeup and Hairstyling
Vice

This usually goes to the movie with the most extravagant work, with a bonus to the nominee that's also nominated to Best Picture. It's hard to see how Vice doesn't win for transforming Christian Bale to eerily like Dick Cheney.

Music
If Beale Street Could Talk

A fairly open category. Best Picture nominees have a slight advantage, which means BlacKkKlansman and Black Panther. That said, If Beale Street Could Talk seems to be the most talked about soundtrack.

Original song
Shallow, A Star Is Born

Yeah, this one's pretty given.

Sound editing
A Quiet Place

Sound editing is creating all of the sounds that are often missing from the recorded sound. The difference between this and Sound Mixing is often a bit diffuse. This one is really tricky. First Man is the kind of movie that usually would win, A Quiet Place makes you really aware of each and every sound, and Black Panther is a Best Picture nominee and the closest you get to a war movie. One of these will almost certainly win, but picking the right one is a guess work.

Sound mixing
Bohemian Rhapsody

Sound mixing is taking all the dialogue recorded, music, sound effects and so on, and mixing it together to a whole. This one almost always goes to a war film or a musical. Since there's no war movie this year, Bohemian Rhapsody is the closest.

Visual effects
Avengers: Infinity War

Honestly, Avengers: Infinity War should be the winner here, with several fully realized CGI characters, complex battle scenes, loads of environments and you know, that scene. It also won the Visual Effects Society top price. However, a superhero movie has not won this category since Spider-Man 2, which gives me pause.

Best documentary
Free Solo

It comes down to either RBG or Free Solo in this category, with very little to go on from the precursors since they mostly went to Won't You Be My Neighbor? RBG has a very topical subject, and with Ruth Bader Ginsburg getting hospitalized in the middle of the voting period, this is sure to get a lot of votes. But Free Solo is much more cinematic and with the BAFTA win I'll go for that.

Animated short
Bao

While Pixar and Disney isn't quite the 800-pound gorilla in this category as in the feature, they do have an advantage. And Bao is quite good, is the first Pixar short directed by a female, and by Chinese-Canadian to boot, which I think is gonna be catnip for the voters.

Documentary short
Period. End of Sentence

The shorts categories are mostly a crap shoot, since it's incredibly difficult to get to see any of them unless you live in New York or Los Angeles. So any predictions are based on summaries and guess work.

Live action short
Marguerite

There's no way I'll do anywhere near as good as last year, this year was hard.

deviantID

wlkr
wlkr
Artist
Norway
Like me on Facebook

Follow me on Twitter

I've gotten an Instagram-account

You can read my blog in English or Norwegian. I also have a Tumblr, but is more or less identical to my blog.

I have a shop where I sell prints and paintings at Etsy.

I also have galleries on Flickr and 500px.

Donate

wlkr has started a donation pool!
4,762 / 8,000
Thanks to everyone that made it possible for me to buy a 3 month premium membership. Now I'm hoping to get enough to extend it for a year.

You must be logged in to donate.

So you got a llama from me?

Yeah, I give them away frequently. I found you through the Random Deviant menu-link. I'm glad you enjoyed it, but you don't need to thank me. It makes my comments rather monotone with page after page of identical comments.

Comments


Add a Comment:
 
:icongermanjuarez:
germanjuarez Featured By Owner 5 hours ago  Hobbyist General Artist
thank u for the l l a m a !
your work is unique and original
keepitup
Reply
:iconfaeizat5haiqal:
faeizat5haiqal Featured By Owner 9 hours ago  Student General Artist
Thank you OwO
Reply
:iconhandyman360:
Handyman360 Featured By Owner 10 hours ago  Hobbyist Artisan Crafter
Thank you!
Reply
:icontomcarlos:
TomCarlos Featured By Owner 17 hours ago  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Thank you very much for the llama!
Reply
:iconokaruuu:
Okaruuu Featured By Owner 20 hours ago  Student Traditional Artist
Thanks for the :llama:
Reply
:iconkavaherbata:
KavaHerbata Featured By Owner 1 day ago  New Deviant
Thank you for the llama :)
Reply
:iconeelgrass-hoo:
Eelgrass-hoo Featured By Owner 1 day ago  Hobbyist Digital Artist
Thanks for the llama!!!!
Reply
:iconblueoceansprite:
BlueOceanSprite Featured By Owner 1 day ago  New Deviant Hobbyist General Artist
Thank you for visiting my DA:D (Big Grin) 
Reply
:iconpresidentpeace:
PresidentPeace Featured By Owner Edited 1 day ago
Thanks for the llama :) (Smile)


I couldn't resist. Sorry.
Reply
:iconavasweetsjoker:
AvasweetsJoker Featured By Owner 2 days ago  Hobbyist
Thank you for the llama :)
Reply
Add a Comment: