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The Presidential election of 2040 was the worst Republican showing in 20 years. The recession of 2039 hurt President Nikki Haley's reelection bid in states like Georgia, Ohio, Puerto Rico, North Carolina, and Saskatchewan. Also a strong libertarian push for the removal several federal gun laws caused 4 states to vote Libertarian. Another immigration crisis caused by war between the Argentinian controlled Southern alliance and Brazil saw millions of South American refugees flooded into the North. Mexico received the brunt of it, the issue being so bad that several states in the north again threatened to secede) but enough people spilled through that President Haley had to station troops on the boarder. The United States agreed to allow half a million people in on temporary bases while Mexico agreed to take in 3 million. The decision angered many immigration hawks and convinced them to vote for conservative democrats. However, the refusal to not allow more refugees in drove out young Hispanic vote which flipped Arizona. The 2040 election also saw the Republican lose the majority in the house but the increase in third parties allowed them to maintain control with an alliance of blue-dog democrats. While not requiring the need 279 electoral votes to win the STV system in Colorado and Missouri allowed their votes to be transferred to Haley, giving her enough votes to win the election outright.
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