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The Case for A New Cooling Cycle



*update* One of the reasons I create these pieces is, besides informing those of you who legitimately question the science being presented by the media, also to inform in regards to political decisions being made concerning climate policy.

I believe that current climate-change policies are being made at the expense of the economy - Your economy. Your choices for the future. And Especially Your FREEDOMS.

Whether you agree with me or not, Current climate policies seem to be designed to curtail all of the above. I believe the science actually says otherwise. The article which follows provides many examples to support that contention.

(image is from Japan, last winter)

The claim has been made for the past 30-Plus years, that humans are responsible for the most recent warming. Most of those who prop up this proposal, point to it beginning to show in the 1950s (when the Earth's temperature was actually falling, as it continued to do until 1963, one of the coldest years since comprehensive, daily records began in the 1880s).

Some of those who claim humans are responsible for this round of warming, would like you to believe that humans have been altering the climate for much longer- in fact, they would have you believe that changes in human land-usage were responsible for the Little Ice Age, which began 600 years ago! ( I shall cover that topic in another article).

Apparently the world is SO fragile, that after a billion years of climatic shifts, including periods of time when CO2 levels were up to 15 times what they are today, it is about to be destroyed! By YOU! We're all gonna die in massive, planet-cooking heat waves! (As early as 2035!)

Of course, they began making this claim immediately after the global cooling scare of the 70s, which years were the tail-end of the cooling cycle which had begun in the 1940s. And a lot of those scientists who claimed we were heading into another ice age, flip-flopped into global cooking as fast as they could.

They knew where the money was.

Please note here: Many of those who claimed we were heading into another ice age in the 70s, were (and are today) calling for the EXACT same things: We needed to power down our economies. We needed to make drastic changes in the way we lived. We needed to pay more taxes in order to pay for attempts to 'fix' climate change. And we always needed to keep in mind: the cooling was somehow OUR fault.

However, some few of the scientists of the day were (and are, today) quite serious- and honest- about what they saw coming. And it was, of course, based in science, not ideology.

Therefore allow me to present evidence that we have passed the current cycle of warming, and are now heading into another round of cooling. In point of fact, a number of scientists have been maintaining that the current cooling cycle would be coming, for several decades***:

Dr William Gray, Professor Emeritus, Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, said the following at the 21st NOAA Climate workshop in Huntsville, Alabama (1996):

'We expect that these changing THC (or MOC - Mid-Ocean Circulation) patterns will lead to enhanced (or major) hurricane activity in coming years and (then) to a small global surface temperature cooling. It is likely that the mean global surface temperature change in the next 20-30 years will be more driven by nature than anthropogenic influences and be one of weak cooling, not warming.'


As we know, hurricanes spiked in 2005- and have since fallen to the lowest numbers in 50 years. Dr Gray, for his troubles (and with 70 years of experience and learning under his belt) was ostracized by the climate science community and had his funding cut off by Al Gore.

Don Easterbrook. His credentials are too massive to list here, please see…

In 2000 he said: ' "For the next 20 years, I predict global cooling of about 3/10ths of a degree Fahrenheit, as opposed to the one-degree warming predicted by the IPCC," said Easterbrook, professor emeritus of geology at Western Washington University and author of 150 scientific journal articles and 10 books, including "Evidence Based Climate Science," which was published in 2011. (See EasterbrookL coming-century-predictions.pdf)'

'Easterbrook noted that his 20-year prediction was the "mildest" one of four possible scenarios, all of which involve lower temperatures, and added that only time will tell whether the Earth continues to cool slightly or plunges into another Little Ice Age'…

See also here…

Theodore Landscheidt. (born in 1927 in Bremen, Germany, died on May 20, 2004) was an author and amateur climatologist. In 1989, Landscheidt forecast a period of sunspot minima after 1990, accompanied by increased cold, with a stronger minimum and more intense cold which should peak in 2030 which he described as the "Landscheidt Minimum".

His paper, 'New Little Ice Age Instead of Global Warming?' can be found here…

I note here that his prediction for solar activity were slightly off, but pretty damned close. And I also note that even NASA is predicting that the next solar cycle- beginning in 2017- will be even weaker than the current one.

Further examples:

Russia's Pulkovo Observatory: "we could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200-250 years" newnostradamusofthenorth.blogs…

UW-Milwaukee Professor Predicts 50 Years of Global Cooling…

Australian climate scientist David Archibald predicts serious cooling in the works…

Professor Cliff Ollier of the School of Earth and Environmental Studies, the University of Western Australia: SUN IS THE MAJOR CONTROL OF CLIMATE; LOOK FOR COOLING…

Australian climate scientist David Evans…

Dr Sebastian Luning: Possible 0.2°C Of Cooling By 2020…

Fritz Vahrenholt, father of the German environmental movement: Ocean-Heat-Content-Based Model By German Scientists Shows Continued Global Cooling Ahead…

This is just a partial listing, mind. I also note that a number of the people now predicting cooling, were at one time ardent 'man-made' believers, and several of those have even been expert reviewers for the IPCC, and even contributed to the 'man-made' literature!


Of course many of you are familiar with the 'Pause' in global warming, which began in 1997, and which I have posted quite a bit upon. Warming has fallen to an almost statistically insignificant .05 degrees per decade- which is 1/4 of the Lowest increases predicted by the IPCC.

As you can see from the above links, there is definitely something going on, and it appears to be linked at least to some extent, to solar activity. Even those pro-'man-made' scientists who try to debunk the 'Pause,' have in several cases, listed changes in solar activity, as part of their excuses- even as they continue to claim that the sun has NO influence upon climate. They still wish you to very much believe that current climate change is YOUR fault.

Well, here are further lines of evidence that we're not heading the way they want you to believe we are:

It has been claimed for the past several years, that the 'Pause' in global warming was being caused by the heat somehow making its' way 'into the deep ocean'- this despite the fact that they cannot tell us what mechanism could possibly get the heat down there, and don't have the equipment to measure / prove it.

But recent research has just shown that IT IS NOT HAPPENING: ' Earth's deep ocean must be shivering, because this dark abyss hasn't warmed since 2005, according to new NASA research.

These cold waters are leaving scientists puzzled as to why global warming appears to have slowed in recent years.'…

So much for the MAIN excuse for the 'Pause.' And that was always what it was- an Excuse!

It should also be noted that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), which undergoes a 60-year cycle, switched over to negative (ie, COOLING) phase around 2006 - 2008- which of course also plays a role in whether or not we see El-Ninos, something the pro-'man-made' crowd is desperate to see more of.

(The "Pacific Decadal Oscillation" (PDO) is a long-lived El Niño-like pattern of Pacific climate variability. While the two climate oscillations have similar spatial climate fingerprints, they have very different behavior in time.)

And, dare I say it? The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is in the process of switching over to negative phase, also.

(The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is a mode of variability occurring in the North Atlantic Ocean that has its principal expression in the sea surface temperature (SST) field.)

These two cycles are never quite in synch with each other, which is one of the reasons for natural variability. But they do sometimes correspond with each other, and the AMO is heading for its' negative phase. At this point in time, both of them going COLD is not helpful to us.


The sun began showing major changes in 2005, beginning with a sharp drop in geomagnetic activity…

This would appear to correspond with predictions made by scientists such as Svensmark and Landscheidt.

Sunspots have dropped considerably over the past two solar cycles, and are forecast to be even lower in Solar Cycle 25, which will begin in 2017. There is an apparent correlation with cooling periods in the past, ie, the Little Ice Age. (Sunspot counts began in 1610).


The Maunder Minimum

Early records of sunspots indicate that the Sun went through a period of inactivity in the late 17th century. Very few sunspots were seen on the Sun from about 1645 to 1715 (38 kb JPEG image). Although the observations were not as extensive as in later years, the Sun was in fact well observed during this time and this lack of sunspots is well documented. This period of solar inactivity also corresponds to a climatic period called the "Little Ice Age" when rivers that are normally ice-free froze and snow fields remained year-round at lower altitudes. There is evidence that the Sun has had similar periods of inactivity in the more distant past. The connection between solar activity and terrestrial climate is an area of on-going research.…

There have also been other changes, such as in the amount of ultraviolet light the sun is putting out. This lead to a collapse of the Thermosphere, a layer of the upper atmosphere which plays a role in protecting us from ultraviolet radiation…

That occurred around 2008-2009- coincidentally, around the same time as winters began to get colder across the globe. I will say right now, I am not certain exactly what the influence of the Thermosphere is in regards to cooling or warming- I merely note that it happened right about the same time as all these other events which I am listing.

Another layer of the atmosphere which plays a role in all of this, is the Stratosphere. This is the next layer of atmosphere above us (we live in the Troposphere, from the Earth's surface to 6 miles up), and contains the ozone layer.

Apparently the ozone layer also plays a role in warming or cooling.

According to the tenets of 'man-made' global warming, the Stratosphere should be cooling, while the Troposphere gets warmer. This is a result of adding more CO2 to the atmosphere, which supposedly creates a 'blanket' effect ( IF you ignore such factors as convection in storms, which daily punch that 'blanket' full of holes).

Well, the Tropical Hot Spot (Troposphere) never materialized.…

And Stratospheric cooling? That more or less flat-lined in 1993- 21 years ago. That by itself punches a hole in the 'man-made' theory.…

Again, the changes to the Thermosphere and Stratosphere, while important, are also among the hardest to explain- But they A) DO occur within the time frame which indicates that the recent round of warming has plateaued, if not stopped, and B) both demonstrate a serious problem with the UNproven theory of 'man-made' global warming.

Maybe we should just call the warming of the latter quarter of the 20th century what it most likely is: Natural, with a hint of human influence (and that, apparently, not from human-generated CO2).

But I digress.

The last two years have seen the Coldest Arctic summers since records began in 1958. 2013 was the absolute coldest on record…

Temperatures in the Arctic fell below freezing a full month early, and were well below average the entire summer. Sea-ice levels rocketed in late September and stayed high this entire past year- this year (2014) saw levels even slightly higher, with temperatures following a similar patter to last year.…

This does NOT mean that Arctic ice has seen an 'all time high,' as some people on DA have tried to claim that skeptics like myself are saying. I would like to note, however, that something in the Arctic ice cycle changed around 2006- pretty much within the same time frame as all of the other changes I am detailing here. The chart in this piece should hopefully give you a good idea of what I mean…

Here is another version…

The 'Arctic Death Spiral' appears to be in reversal.


The IPCC has, since 1990, been telling us that 'man-made' global warming would cause our winters to become shorter, Warmer, Wetter. In fact here is exactly what they said in the 2007 report:

Observed decreases in snow and ice extent are also consistent with warming (Figure SPM.1). Satellite data since 1978 show that annual average Arctic sea ice extent has shrunk by 2.7 [2.1 to 3.3]% per decade, with larger decreases in summer of 7.4 [5.0 to 9.8]% per decade. Mountain glaciers and snow cover on average have declined in both hemispheres. {1.1}

And here is the IPCC chart to back that up.…

Note that the chart gives NO information past the turn of the century.

And this is from the 2014 IPCC AR5 report:

Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover have continued to decrease in

extent (high confidence).

It is very likely that the Arctic sea ice cover will continue to shrink and thin and that Northern Hemisphere spring snow cover will decrease during the 21st century.

Note for starters that they say Spring snow. We are also supposed to be seeing winter weather starting later, with a lot more rain, and an 'earlier snow melt,' as things warm up fast and wereallgonnacookanditisYOURfault-


Up-to-date snow coverage…

Snow coverage well above one standard deviation (from normal)…


Since 2008, many parts of the world have been seeing new records for cold winters; winters starting earlier; winters ending later. Is this true in all cases? NO. As weather patterns shift, some places will, actually get a bit warmer, see less winter precipitation. But that doesn't prove 'man-made' global warming. It only proves that the climate is shifting. AGAIN. Just like it did for the Little Ice Age. The Medieval Warm Period. The Dark Ages Cooling. The Roman Warm Period. The................

Well, it is Obvious to some of us. Those of us who have not spent the last 20 years being taught to Fear the weather.…

And blame YOU.

A few examples of recent winters:

German winter coldest in 100 years…

Coldest March all across Europe (I thought spring was supposed to come early?)…

This coming winter to be the coldest yet…

Early frosts and freezes in western US…

There are some on this site who would say and *have* said 'is that all you can come up with?' Not that they would even bother to click on the links, mind.

I can easily list links for hours, but, you know it isn't necessary.


One last bit, as I wish to wrap this up.

You've of course heard that glaciers are 'in retreat' all across the globe- and that it is YOUR fault. This despite the FACT that many of those glaciers did not even exist 6000 years ago, at the end of the Holocene Climate Optimum, a period of warming so massive that the Arctic actually was ice-free in the summers, for centuries.

Well, that is apparently no longer the case.

There are places in a number of countries were snow persists year-round in the mountains. The Rockies come to mind of course. But there is one place which I had not thought of until I heard of this: Scotland. And they do surveys on these sort of things.

'The annual study, carried out every August by a team of volunteers and published by the Royal Meteorological Society, showed nearly 300 remnants of last winter’s snowfall have failed to melt.

This is the highest number since a Scottish national snow survey began seven years ago, and a dramatic increase on the 24 to 81 patches recorded in previous seasons.

The leftover patches were also found to be larger and deeper than usual.

Survey organiser and lead author of the study Iain Cameron said it was likely some patches could last until this winter.

He described the latest survey as "an ordeal" after massive snowfalls between December and March resulted in an unusually high amount lasting through summer.

He said: "We count every single patch of snow that exists in the Highlands.

"There are normally around 30, 40 or 50 patches and they tend to be in the same areas year after year.

"But this year has been a bit of an ordeal because there was an extraordinary amount of snow last winter and despite the warm summer there are still a large number of snow patches."'…

They do of course try to minimize this- but I find it interesting that they are persisting. One of the claims is that, IF we are moving towards cooling- or even another Little Ice Age- then we should be seeing more of such things. And we are.

Yet, when they appear- when ANY deviation from 'we're gonna cook!' appears- Excuses are made. Just like the 'heat is hiding in the deep oceans.' And we know what happened to *that* excuse.

I believe we are heading into a cycle of cooling, hopefully a short one, though even 30 years is too long in my Op. And I believe the evidence has been mounting for the past decade. And like everything else I have posted here on DA, I have provided the evidence. The fact that excuses keep piling up to explain how these things somehow support 'man-made' global warming, ought in itself be a good sign that they are floundering to explain why the Earth itself is not cooperating with their UNproven theory.

Hurricanes are way down. However we DO get them more often during COOLING.

Tornadoes are way down. However we do get them more often during COOLING.

Wildfire numbers are way down (and both numbers of fires and amount of acres burned, fluctuates like Hell from year to year, anyway).

There is NO trend in droughts either way.

We have built tens of Trillions of dollars worth of infrastructure on the coasts and on major islands, where they are right in the path of ocean-born storms which have pounded those regions since the atmosphere formed. Some regions more than others- like the Philippines.

But they want to blame YOU for the damage done.

Crops world-wide have been setting records despite claims that they would be in decline 'due to 'man-made' warming. And when they have dropped? It has most often been due to COLD weather, and that happening more frequently despite claims that winters would get Warmer. Wetter. Shorter.

They have spent the past 30 years telling us that things are going to get warmer. Anyone who reads the info for themselves will find that there is very little, IF anything, which says otherwise. They have been saying that snow will be 'a thing of the past.'…………

If anyone tells you that these cold and snowy winters 'are consistent with the models,' THEY. ARE. LYING.…




Author's comments:

I have future articles in mind which will cover some of the above information, such as the fact that many glaciers currently melting, are exposing archeological sites and other things of note, which should not exist if those glaciers had somehow been 'permanent' features, as proponents of the UNproven theory of 'man-made' global warming would have you believe.

NOTE: if you are going to present information which somehow 'discredits' any of the above scientists, by way of pointing to their religious beliefs or claims made by sites such as desmogblog, DON'T. IF, on the other hand, you are able to disprove their science.... and YES, I DO want links. Again, not to blogs like 'skeptical' science or 'real' climate.

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CherokeeCampFireGirl's avatar
One single volcano can change climate faster than mankind could even dream of.  Thanks for putting this out there.