JaySimons's avatar

Future European Geopolitical Evolution

99 40 18K (1 Today)
By JaySimons   |   
Published:
© 2014 - 2020 JaySimons
This map shows the possible future-to-be territorial situation in Europe, North Africa and the Middle East, if all regions actively striving for independence manage to achieve it.
Possible new independent countries are shown in red(the claimed Islamic State is shown in dark grey).
Regions shown on the map that are likely to gain independence in the next 1-2 decades are:

ABKHAZIA: Currently under the status of "Autonomous Republic of Abkhazia", recognized only by Russia, Nicaragua, Venezuela and Nauru as an independent state.
BASQUE COUNTRY:
Strong independence movements in the area can drive the Basque Country to secede from Spain in the near future.
CATALONIA:
If Scotland becomes an independent country, strong independence movements in the area can drive the Catalonia to completely secede from Spain in the near future. Catalonia is one of the most likely candidates for the next new country.
CORSICA:
Major percentage of Corsican population support its independence from France. If the trend of secession estabilishes in Europe, Corsica is a likely candidate for the next country.
CYRENAICA:
After the Libyan Civil War, the country fell into anarchy and is currently de-facto divided in three provinces. Possible unification of Libya in the future is extremely improbable, and Cyrenaica's independence is likely to be recognized in the near future
FEZZAN:
After the Libyan Civil War, the country fell into anarchy and is currently de-facto divided in three provinces. Possible unification of Libya in the future is extremely improbable, and Fezzan's independence is likely to be recognized in the near future
FLANDERS:
If the internal disputes in Belgium become stronger, the country is likely to split in two, Dutch-speaking Flanders and francophone Wallonia. In case that happens Brussels is likely going to be either divided or to become a city-state on its own.
KURDISTAN:
Numerous Kurdish nationalist organizations seek to create an independent state of Kurdistan within the regions where Kurds form the majority.
Kurds fighting in the Syrian Civil War were able to take control of large sections of northeast Syria as forces loyal to Assad withdrew to fight elsewhere. Having established their own government, some Kurds called for autonomy in a democratic Syria; others hope to establish an independent Kurdistan.
NOVOROSSIYA:
In early 2014, Donetsk and Lugansk regions in the Eastern Ukraine declared independence from the rest of the country, and later unified, forming an unrecognized state of Novorossiya.
The situation is unlikely to return back to its pre-war status and Novorossiya is likely to be either annexed by Russia or to become an independent country
SARDINIA:
Major part of Sardinian population support its independence from Italy. If the trend of secession estabilishes in Europe, Sardinia is a likely candidate for the next country.
SCOTLAND:
After the independence referendum is held in mid-September, Scotland will either secede from the United Kingdom or gain a greater degree of autonomy within the country
SOUTH OSSETIA:
Currently recognized only by Russia, Nicaragua, Venezuela and Nauru as an independent state.
TRANSNISTRIA:
Currently unrecognized by any UN member state, however, Transnistria is an de-facto independent presidential republic with its own government, military, flag and currency.
It is likely to gain higher degree of international recognition in the future.
TRIPOLITANIA:
After the Libyan Civil War, the country fell into anarchy and is currently de-facto divided in three provinces. Possible unification of Libya in the future is extremely improbable, and Tripolitania's independence is likely to be recognized in the near future
VENETO:
Venetian region of Italy is home to a notable nationalist movement. Unofficial independence poll was held in 2014, and staggering 89% of residents voted for secession. Higher degree of autonomy in the future is very likely
VOJVODINA:
Already an autonomous province of Serbia with population of more than 2 million, it is possible that Vojvodina will gain independence in the next few decades.
WALLONIA:
If the internal disputes in Belgium become stronger, the country is likely to split in two, Dutch-speaking Flanders and francophone Wallonia. In case that happens Brussels is likely going to be either divided or to become a city-state on its own.
Image size
1133x1121px 787.46 KB
IMAGE DETAILS
Software
Paint.NET v3.5.10
Comments40
anonymous's avatar
Join the community to add your comment. Already a deviant? Log In
Thesaurus98's avatar
I love this map !!!! :)
grisador's avatar
A full world version is possible in future ?
qwertyuiopasd1234567's avatar
qwertyuiopasd1234567Professional Interface Designer
Islamic istate is Sunni State, while some of eastern Iraq is Shitte State.
EricVonSchweetz's avatar
EricVonSchweetzHobbyist Digital Artist
Don't like Libya will split into 3 states at once. They must be stayed within Libya!
LividTheFoxy's avatar
LividTheFoxyHobbyist Interface Designer
I don't think Sardinia, altough sardinians are really xenophobes, will ever be a country itself.
3D4D's avatar
3D4DStudent General Artist
You can make a Future Geopolitical Evolution of the World???
d------d's avatar
While I think it's correct to include "Veneto" in this hypothetical map, I find the description misleading for non-Italians where it says
"89% of residents voted for secession. Higher degree of autonomy in the future is very likely".
It was not "89% of residents": it was "89% of voters in the poll" - and they were a tiny part of Veneto residents.

I don't pretend to be a source myself. Instead, I'd suggest Jay to give a second look to this issue and if needed, to revise the description. Trustable, official news sources exist that can provide him with more detailed and verifiable information.
Here's a first link: www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2014/… ("Il Fatto Quotidiano" is a main national newspaper)

That said, the graphic and visual work here is awesome.
This is one of the most fascinating galleries across DA.
Thanks!
Saint-Tepes's avatar
Saint-TepesHobbyist Artist
Lets hope none of these will happen and that the separatistz will get shit
DoubleDSimpson's avatar
Map idea: map of the world where land and ocean is swapped
Spiffer's avatar
SpifferHobbyist General Artist
Hi nice map working :) Is it correct that you made the peninsula of Jutland in a different colour than the island of zealand? :)
Raubritter's avatar
RaubritterHobbyist Traditional Artist
You forgot the Bretagne! ò.ó
Drak-pa's avatar
Drak-paHobbyist Artist
“Bretagne” is “Britanny” in English ^^ Although, I’m not sure independence movements are as strong as in Corsica. (but I agree some are to be skipped for this map, for example the ridiculous movement for Bugey’s independence~)
Jackdragon20's avatar
The map is really cool but, wouldn't the capital of Basque Country be Bilbao instead of Vitoria?
gnhtd's avatar
Would be quite cool to have something like this map irl ^^.

Though, there are several movements in places like Sardinia, Bavaria, Southern Tirol and other places which want their home to join Switzerland. The possibility is there for something like that to happen... ;)
Randaglar's avatar
And why Bosnia-Herzegovina woldn't collapse in two?
Aramis-Dagaz's avatar
Meanwhile, Denmark is wondering why Greenland won't just accept friggin' independence already.
blackjamie's avatar
its probably like Quebec, it'll take independence, but expect to keep its Danish currency, passports, and pension and unemployment benefits..
Van-Dunkelschreiber's avatar
Van-DunkelschreiberHobbyist General Artist
the map feels over crowded
monotsleigh's avatar
monotsleighHobbyist Traditional Artist
Look at Germany/Swizterland/Austria and Czech Republic during the 11th century!
Van-Dunkelschreiber's avatar
Van-DunkelschreiberHobbyist General Artist
no as in to many points of interest labeled on the map making it hard to read
monotsleigh's avatar
monotsleighHobbyist Traditional Artist
Ah ok gotcha! XD Yeah that's true, especially as most of the areas that want to be their own countries are tiny as well!
Van-Dunkelschreiber's avatar
Van-DunkelschreiberHobbyist General Artist
Perhaps just the countries' names and capitals would suffice
Acidpond's avatar
OH MAP MAKER CAN I ASK YOU FOR A REQUEST
p3p35k's avatar
vynikajúca práca :)
anonymous's avatar
Join the community to add your comment. Already a deviant? Log In